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BetBoom Circuit X Base Recife 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA#65 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
67%57%
BESTIA · 2 mapsedge BESTIA +10%Bounty Hunters · 17 maps
AncientBounty Hunters ban
60%61%
BESTIA · 1 mapnearly even -1%Bounty Hunters · 14 maps
MirageBESTIA ban
50%67%
BESTIA · 0 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +17%Bounty Hunters · 11 maps
NukeBounty Hunters pick
40%79%
BESTIA · 1 mapedge Bounty Hunters +39%Bounty Hunters · 10 maps
AnubisBESTIA ban
50%38%
BESTIA · 0 mapsedge BESTIA +12%Bounty Hunters · 4 maps
OverpassBounty Hunters ban
40%50%
BESTIA · 1 mapedge Bounty Hunters +10%Bounty Hunters · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA remove Anubis
2. BanBounty Hunters remove Overpass
3. PickBESTIA take Dust2
4. PickBounty Hunters take Nuke
5. BanBounty Hunters remove Ancient
6. BanBESTIA remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed5:13
BESTIA 63%Bounty Hunters 37%
The model gave 63% on BESTIA — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Nukeprediction missed13:2
BESTIA 14%Bounty Hunters 86%
The model gave 86% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
BESTIA 33%Bounty Hunters 67%
The model gave 67% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 59%
Series resultBESTIA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3