CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSpirit Academy pick
57%68%
INOX Division · 24 mapsedge Spirit Academy +11%Spirit Academy · 15 maps
NukeINOX Division pick
61%44%
INOX Division · 24 mapsedge INOX Division +17%Spirit Academy · 12 maps
Dust2possible decider
46%53%
INOX Division · 20 mapsedge Spirit Academy +7%Spirit Academy · 13 maps
InfernoSpirit Academy ban
62%50%
INOX Division · 30 mapsedge INOX Division +12%Spirit Academy · 0 maps
CacheINOX Division ban
42%53%
INOX Division · 15 mapsedge Spirit Academy +11%Spirit Academy · 11 maps
AnubisSpirit Academy ban
67%75%
INOX Division · 8 mapsedge Spirit Academy +8%Spirit Academy · 4 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%47%
INOX Division · 0 mapsnearly even +3%Spirit Academy · 11 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Inferno
3. PickINOX Division take Nuke
4. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Anubis
6. BanINOX Division remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (46% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
INOX Division 69%Spirit Academy 31%
The model gave 69% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Cacheprediction missed16:12
INOX Division 36%Spirit Academy 64%
The model gave 64% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 63%
Series resultINOX Division 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2