Roman Imperium Cup IX · BO1
result vs prediction
Sangal#48 in the world · win 13:4series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 13:4
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · loss 4:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSangal ban
56%62%
Sangal · 5 mapsedge Lazer Cats +6%Lazer Cats · 9 maps
MirageLazer Cats ban
50%50%
Sangal · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Lazer Cats · 4 maps
Dust2Sangal ban
36%38%
Sangal · 7 mapsnearly even -2%Lazer Cats · 4 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
75%43%
Sangal · 8 mapsedge Sangal +32%Lazer Cats · 3 maps
Anubispossible decider
67%78%
Sangal · 5 mapsedge Lazer Cats +11%Lazer Cats · 5 maps
CacheLazer Cats ban
64%50%
Sangal · 10 mapsedge Sangal +14%Lazer Cats · 0 maps
InfernoSangal ban
50%56%
Sangal · 0 mapsedge Lazer Cats +6%Lazer Cats · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSangal remove Inferno
2. BanLazer Cats remove Cache
3. BanSangal remove Ancient
4. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
5. BanSangal remove Dust2
6. BanLazer Cats remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (67% / 78%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:4
Sangal 36%Lazer Cats 64%
The model gave 64% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Sangal.
Model check result
Model favoriteSangal · 69%
Series resultSangal 13:4
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1