Roman Imperium Cup IX · BO3
result vs prediction
WBT#108 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NAVI Junior#127 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisWBT pick
55%62%
WBT · 16 mapsedge NAVI Junior +7%NAVI Junior · 17 maps
Dust2possible decider
60%42%
WBT · 11 mapsedge WBT +18%NAVI Junior · 20 maps
MirageNAVI Junior pick
50%68%
WBT · 8 mapsedge NAVI Junior +18%NAVI Junior · 21 map
AncientNAVI Junior ban
53%27%
WBT · 11 mapsedge WBT +26%NAVI Junior · 11 maps
NukeWBT ban
58%38%
WBT · 8 mapsedge WBT +20%NAVI Junior · 9 maps
CacheNAVI Junior ban
31%33%
WBT · 9 mapsnearly even -2%NAVI Junior · 5 maps
InfernoWBT ban
50%33%
WBT · 2 mapsedge WBT +17%NAVI Junior · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT remove Inferno
2. BanNAVI Junior remove Cache
3. PickWBT take Anubis
4. PickNAVI Junior take Mirage
5. BanNAVI Junior remove Ancient
6. BanWBT remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (60% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct11:13
WBT 40%NAVI Junior 60%
The model gave 60% on NAVI Junior — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Dust2prediction missed14:16
WBT 70%NAVI Junior 30%
The model gave 70% on WBT — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT · 54%
Series resultNAVI Junior 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2