Roman Imperium Cup IX · BO3
result vs prediction
PURE#126 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FaZe#14 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheFaZe pick
57%62%
PURE · 3 mapsedge FaZe +5%FaZe · 9 maps
MiragePURE ban
36%44%
PURE · 7 mapsedge FaZe +8%FaZe · 5 maps
AncientPURE pick
63%36%
PURE · 4 mapsedge PURE +27%FaZe · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
56%70%
PURE · 5 mapsedge FaZe +14%FaZe · 6 maps
Dust2FaZe ban
57%40%
PURE · 3 mapsedge PURE +17%FaZe · 6 maps
InfernoFaZe ban
70%50%
PURE · 6 mapsedge PURE +20%FaZe · 0 maps
AnubisPURE ban
60%40%
PURE · 1 mapedge PURE +20%FaZe · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPURE remove Anubis
2. BanFaZe remove Inferno
3. PickPURE take Ancient
4. PickFaZe take Cache
5. BanFaZe remove Dust2
6. BanPURE remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (56% / 70%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed9:13
PURE 77%FaZe 23%
The model gave 77% on PURE — the map was taken by FaZe.
Mirageprediction correct14:16
PURE 39%FaZe 61%
The model gave 61% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 88%
Series resultFaZe 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2