Roman Imperium Cup IX · BO3
result vs prediction
FaZe#14 in the world · win 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NAVI Junior#127 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
45%42%
FaZe · 7 mapsnearly even +3%NAVI Junior · 22 maps
MirageNAVI Junior pick
50%70%
FaZe · 6 mapsedge NAVI Junior +20%NAVI Junior · 23 maps
AnubisFaZe ban
33%68%
FaZe · 2 mapsedge NAVI Junior +35%NAVI Junior · 21 map
AncientNAVI Junior ban
36%27%
FaZe · 7 mapsedge FaZe +9%NAVI Junior · 11 maps
NukeFaZe pick
73%36%
FaZe · 7 mapsedge FaZe +37%NAVI Junior · 10 maps
CacheNAVI Junior ban
58%27%
FaZe · 8 mapsedge FaZe +31%NAVI Junior · 7 maps
DefaultFaZe ban
50%57%
FaZe · 0 mapsedge NAVI Junior +7%NAVI Junior · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFaZe remove Anubis
2. BanNAVI Junior remove Cache
3. PickFaZe take Nuke
4. PickNAVI Junior take Mirage
5. BanNAVI Junior remove Ancient
6. BanFaZe remove Default
DeciderDust2 (45% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:2
FaZe 17%NAVI Junior 83%
The model gave 83% on NAVI Junior — the map was taken by FaZe.
Nukeprediction correct13:2
FaZe 84%NAVI Junior 16%
The model gave 84% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 91%
Series resultFaZe 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2