Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · win 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HYPERSPIRIT#147 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2CYBERSHOKE pick
58%40%
CYBERSHOKE · 8 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +18%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%44%
CYBERSHOKE · 8 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +6%HYPERSPIRIT · 5 maps
AncientHYPERSPIRIT pick
62%67%
CYBERSHOKE · 9 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +5%HYPERSPIRIT · 2 maps
AnubisHYPERSPIRIT ban
40%40%
CYBERSHOKE · 1 mapnearly even +0%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
NukeHYPERSPIRIT ban
60%29%
CYBERSHOKE · 1 mapedge CYBERSHOKE +31%HYPERSPIRIT · 3 maps
OverpassCYBERSHOKE ban
29%40%
CYBERSHOKE · 3 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +11%HYPERSPIRIT · 1 map
DefaultCYBERSHOKE ban
50%60%
CYBERSHOKE · 0 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +10%HYPERSPIRIT · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Overpass
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Nuke
3. PickCYBERSHOKE take Dust2
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Ancient
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Anubis
6. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Default
DeciderMirage (50% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:5
CYBERSHOKE 47%HYPERSPIRIT 53%
The model gave 53% on HYPERSPIRIT — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
CYBERSHOKE 70%HYPERSPIRIT 30%
The model gave 70% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE · 70%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2