CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
AM#57 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Johnny Speeds#73 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
25%45%
AM · 8 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +20%Johnny Speeds · 7 maps
MirageJohnny Speeds ban
67%36%
AM · 5 mapsedge AM +31%Johnny Speeds · 7 maps
AncientAM ban
40%57%
AM · 6 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +17%Johnny Speeds · 3 maps
InfernoJohnny Speeds pick
67%75%
AM · 5 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +8%Johnny Speeds · 4 maps
OverpassAM pick
70%57%
AM · 6 mapsedge AM +13%Johnny Speeds · 3 maps
NukeJohnny Speeds ban
58%50%
AM · 8 mapsedge AM +8%Johnny Speeds · 0 maps
AnubisAM ban
50%29%
AM · 0 mapsedge AM +21%Johnny Speeds · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAM remove Anubis
2. BanJohnny Speeds remove Nuke
3. PickAM take Overpass
4. PickJohnny Speeds take Inferno
5. BanJohnny Speeds remove Mirage
6. BanAM remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (25% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
AM 31%Johnny Speeds 69%
The model gave 69% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
AM 80%Johnny Speeds 20%
The model gave 80% on AM — the map was taken by AM.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
AM 40%Johnny Speeds 60%
The model gave 60% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Model check result
Model favoriteAM · 51%
Series resultJohnny Speeds 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3