Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#65 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ALGO#146 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisBetclic pick
80%36%
Betclic · 6 mapsedge Betclic +44%ALGO · 10 maps
NukeALGO pick
30%67%
Betclic · 6 mapsedge ALGO +37%ALGO · 8 maps
InfernoBetclic ban
29%64%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge ALGO +35%ALGO · 7 maps
AncientBetclic ban
33%45%
Betclic · 2 mapsedge ALGO +12%ALGO · 7 maps
MirageALGO ban
29%22%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge Betclic +7%ALGO · 5 maps
OverpassALGO ban
50%43%
Betclic · 2 mapsedge Betclic +7%ALGO · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%40%
Betclic · 1 mapedge Betclic +20%ALGO · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Inferno
2. BanALGO remove Mirage
3. PickBetclic take Anubis
4. PickALGO take Nuke
5. BanALGO remove Overpass
6. BanBetclic remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (60% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
Betclic 35%ALGO 65%
The model gave 65% on ALGO — the map was taken by ALGO.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Betclic 19%ALGO 81%
The model gave 81% on ALGO — the map was taken by Betclic.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
Betclic 58%ALGO 42%
The model gave 58% on Betclic — the map was taken by ALGO.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetclic · 61%
Series resultALGO 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3