CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
HAVU#107 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
aAa#132 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2aAa pick
31%33%
HAVU · 9 mapsnearly even -2%aAa · 8 maps
NukeHAVU pick
56%29%
HAVU · 5 mapsedge HAVU +27%aAa · 3 maps
AncientHAVU ban
50%20%
HAVU · 0 mapsedge HAVU +30%aAa · 6 maps
InfernoHAVU ban
29%29%
HAVU · 3 mapsnearly even +0%aAa · 3 maps
MirageaAa ban
33%50%
HAVU · 5 mapsedge aAa +17%aAa · 0 maps
OverpassaAa ban
43%33%
HAVU · 3 mapsedge HAVU +10%aAa · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%50%
HAVU · 2 mapsedge HAVU +17%aAa · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHAVU remove Ancient
2. BanaAa remove Mirage
3. PickHAVU take Nuke
4. PickaAa take Dust2
5. BanaAa remove Overpass
6. BanHAVU remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
HAVU 44%aAa 56%
The model gave 56% on aAa — the map was taken by HAVU.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
HAVU 78%aAa 22%
The model gave 78% on HAVU — the map was taken by HAVU.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 59%
Series resultHAVU 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2