BetBoom Circuit X Base Recife 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · win 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
55%50%
Bounty Hunters · 16 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +5%BlackBelt · 0 maps
AncientBlackBelt ban
59%50%
Bounty Hunters · 13 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +9%BlackBelt · 0 maps
MirageBounty Hunters pick
67%40%
Bounty Hunters · 11 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +27%BlackBelt · 1 map
NukeBlackBelt ban
79%50%
Bounty Hunters · 10 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +29%BlackBelt · 0 maps
AnubisBlackBelt pick
38%50%
Bounty Hunters · 4 mapsedge BlackBelt +12%BlackBelt · 0 maps
OverpassBounty Hunters ban
50%50%
Bounty Hunters · 2 mapsnearly even +0%BlackBelt · 0 maps
InfernoBounty Hunters ban
50%40%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +10%BlackBelt · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Inferno
2. BanBlackBelt remove Nuke
3. PickBounty Hunters take Mirage
4. PickBlackBelt take Anubis
5. BanBlackBelt remove Ancient
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Overpass
DeciderDust2 (55% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
Bounty Hunters 52%BlackBelt 48%
The model gave 52% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Bounty Hunters 62%BlackBelt 38%
The model gave 62% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 79%
Series resultBounty Hunters 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2