CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
1win#33 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
AM#57 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust21win pick
57%25%
1win · 3 mapsedge 1win +32%AM · 8 maps
AncientAM ban
50%40%
1win · 2 mapsedge 1win +10%AM · 6 maps
Nuke1win ban
50%58%
1win · 0 mapsedge AM +8%AM · 8 maps
MirageAM ban
57%63%
1win · 3 mapsedge AM +6%AM · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
60%67%
1win · 1 mapedge AM +7%AM · 5 maps
OverpassAM pick
40%67%
1win · 1 mapedge AM +27%AM · 5 maps
Default1win ban
50%60%
1win · 0 mapsedge AM +10%AM · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Nuke
2. BanAM remove Ancient
3. Pick1win take Dust2
4. PickAM take Overpass
5. BanAM remove Mirage
6. Ban1win remove Default
DeciderInferno (60% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct10:13
1win 23%AM 77%
The model gave 77% on AM — the map was taken by AM.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
1win 47%AM 53%
The model gave 53% on AM — the map was taken by AM.
Model check result
Model favorite1win · 63%
Series resultAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2