BetBoom Circuit X Base Recife 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LP#107 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
40%57%
25 cents · 1 mapedge LP +17%LP · 10 maps
Ancient25 cents pick
40%45%
25 cents · 1 mapedge LP +5%LP · 7 maps
InfernoLP pick
50%73%
25 cents · 0 mapsedge LP +23%LP · 7 maps
Nuke25 cents ban
50%60%
25 cents · 0 mapsedge LP +10%LP · 6 maps
MirageLP ban
50%67%
25 cents · 0 mapsedge LP +17%LP · 5 maps
OverpassLP ban
50%38%
25 cents · 0 mapsedge 25 cents +12%LP · 4 maps
Default25 cents ban
50%60%
25 cents · 0 mapsedge LP +10%LP · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban25 cents remove Nuke
2. BanLP remove Overpass
3. Pick25 cents take Ancient
4. PickLP take Inferno
5. BanLP remove Mirage
6. Ban25 cents remove Default
DeciderDust2 (40% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
25 cents 36%LP 64%
The model gave 64% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Infernoprediction correct1:13
25 cents 25%LP 75%
The model gave 75% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 73%
Series resultLP 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2