CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
NEW VISION#204 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
G2 Ares#103 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
40%55%
NEW VISION · 1 mapedge G2 Ares +15%G2 Ares · 7 maps
Dust2NEW VISION ban
50%56%
NEW VISION · 2 mapsedge G2 Ares +6%G2 Ares · 5 maps
InfernoG2 Ares pick
60%60%
NEW VISION · 1 mapnearly even +0%G2 Ares · 6 maps
AncientNEW VISION pick
57%50%
NEW VISION · 3 mapsedge NEW VISION +7%G2 Ares · 2 maps
AnubisG2 Ares ban
50%67%
NEW VISION · 2 mapsedge G2 Ares +17%G2 Ares · 2 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
50%50%
NEW VISION · 2 mapsnearly even +0%G2 Ares · 0 maps
OverpassNEW VISION ban
50%50%
NEW VISION · 0 mapsnearly even +0%G2 Ares · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNEW VISION remove Overpass
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickNEW VISION take Ancient
4. PickG2 Ares take Inferno
5. BanG2 Ares remove Anubis
6. BanNEW VISION remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (40% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
NEW VISION 60%G2 Ares 40%
The model gave 60% on NEW VISION — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Infernoprediction correct5:13
NEW VISION 47%G2 Ares 53%
The model gave 53% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Ares · 61%
Series resultG2 Ares 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2