CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MAYBE#173 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSpirit Academy pick
68%38%
Spirit Academy · 15 mapsedge Spirit Academy +30%MAYBE · 9 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
47%53%
Spirit Academy · 11 mapsedge MAYBE +6%MAYBE · 11 maps
Dust2Spirit Academy ban
53%42%
Spirit Academy · 13 mapsedge Spirit Academy +11%MAYBE · 8 maps
CacheMAYBE pick
50%44%
Spirit Academy · 12 mapsedge Spirit Academy +6%MAYBE · 5 maps
NukeMAYBE ban
41%50%
Spirit Academy · 13 mapsedge MAYBE +9%MAYBE · 2 maps
AnubisMAYBE ban
75%43%
Spirit Academy · 4 mapsedge Spirit Academy +32%MAYBE · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Spirit Academy · 1 mapnearly even +0%MAYBE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
2. BanMAYBE remove Anubis
3. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
4. PickMAYBE take Cache
5. BanMAYBE remove Nuke
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:9
Spirit Academy 53%MAYBE 47%
The model gave 53% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Spirit Academy 44%MAYBE 56%
The model gave 56% on MAYBE — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 68%
Series resultSpirit Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2