CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Banda Chuya ban
48%50%
Bebop · 17 mapsnearly even -2%Banda Chuya · 2 maps
MirageBebop ban
20%30%
Bebop · 11 mapsedge Banda Chuya +10%Banda Chuya · 6 maps
NukeBebop pick
50%33%
Bebop · 12 mapsedge Bebop +17%Banda Chuya · 2 maps
AnubisBanda Chuya ban
40%33%
Bebop · 6 mapsedge Bebop +7%Banda Chuya · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
44%33%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge Bebop +11%Banda Chuya · 2 maps
DefaultBanda Chuya pick
56%67%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge Banda Chuya +11%Banda Chuya · 2 maps
InfernoBebop ban
33%50%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge Banda Chuya +17%Banda Chuya · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBebop remove Inferno
2. BanBanda Chuya remove Dust2
3. PickBebop take Nuke
4. PickBanda Chuya take Default
5. BanBanda Chuya remove Anubis
6. BanBebop remove Mirage
DeciderCache (44% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed5:13
Bebop 64%Banda Chuya 36%
The model gave 64% on Bebop — the map was taken by Banda Chuya.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
Bebop 51%Banda Chuya 49%
The model gave 51% on Bebop — the map was taken by Banda Chuya.
Model check result
Model favoriteBanda Chuya · 52%
Series resultBanda Chuya 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2