NODWIN Clutch Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
64%67%
INOX Division · 10 mapsnearly even -3%ex-Zero Tenacity · 11 maps
NukeINOX Division pick
60%57%
INOX Division · 11 mapsnearly even +3%ex-Zero Tenacity · 10 maps
Infernopossible decider
54%45%
INOX Division · 9 mapsedge INOX Division +9%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
50%36%
INOX Division · 2 mapsedge INOX Division +14%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Overpassex-Zero Tenacity ban
64%40%
INOX Division · 7 mapsedge INOX Division +24%ex-Zero Tenacity · 1 map
MirageINOX Division ban
50%36%
INOX Division · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +14%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
60%50%
INOX Division · 6 mapsedge INOX Division +10%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickINOX Division take Nuke
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Overpass
6. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (54% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
INOX Division 44%ex-Zero Tenacity 56%
The model gave 56% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Overpassprediction correct13:9
INOX Division 75%ex-Zero Tenacity 25%
The model gave 75% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 73%
Series resultINOX Division 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2