CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ursa#88 in the world · win 1:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Oramond#119 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Ursa pick
61%40%
Ursa · 14 mapsedge Ursa +21%Oramond · 6 maps
Nukepossible decider
33%43%
Ursa · 11 mapsedge Oramond +10%Oramond · 3 maps
MirageOramond pick
55%60%
Ursa · 7 mapsedge Oramond +5%Oramond · 6 maps
AnubisOramond ban
50%50%
Ursa · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Oramond · 6 maps
InfernoOramond ban
36%60%
Ursa · 7 mapsedge Oramond +24%Oramond · 1 map
OverpassUrsa ban
33%50%
Ursa · 5 mapsedge Oramond +17%Oramond · 2 maps
AncientUrsa ban
50%60%
Ursa · 0 mapsedge Oramond +10%Oramond · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUrsa remove Ancient
2. BanOramond remove Inferno
3. PickUrsa take Dust2
4. PickOramond take Mirage
5. BanOramond remove Anubis
6. BanUrsa remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (33% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Ursa 50%Oramond 50%
The model gave 50% on Ursa — the map was taken by Ursa.
Model check result
Model favoriteUrsa · 55%
Series resultUrsa 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1