BetBoom Circuit X Base Recife 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fluxo#56 in the world · win 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BlackBelt ban
43%50%
Fluxo · 3 mapsedge BlackBelt +7%BlackBelt · 0 maps
AncientBlackBelt pick
33%50%
Fluxo · 2 mapsedge BlackBelt +17%BlackBelt · 0 maps
InfernoFluxo ban
40%50%
Fluxo · 1 mapedge BlackBelt +10%BlackBelt · 0 maps
NukeFluxo pick
40%50%
Fluxo · 1 mapedge BlackBelt +10%BlackBelt · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Inferno
2. BanBlackBelt remove Dust2
3. PickFluxo take Nuke
4. PickBlackBelt take Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:0
Fluxo 47%BlackBelt 53%
The model gave 53% on BlackBelt — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Infernoprediction missed13:1
Fluxo 43%BlackBelt 57%
The model gave 57% on BlackBelt — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 71%
Series resultFluxo 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2