CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 2:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:1
fnatic#36 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEternal Fire ban
50%58%
Eternal Fire · 4 mapsedge fnatic +8%fnatic · 8 maps
Dust2Eternal Fire pick
60%38%
Eternal Fire · 6 mapsedge Eternal Fire +22%fnatic · 4 maps
Anubisfnatic pick
50%45%
Eternal Fire · 2 mapsedge Eternal Fire +5%fnatic · 7 maps
Ancientfnatic ban
67%57%
Eternal Fire · 5 mapsedge Eternal Fire +10%fnatic · 3 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
50%73%
Eternal Fire · 0 mapsedge fnatic +23%fnatic · 7 maps
Defaultfnatic ban
60%50%
Eternal Fire · 1 mapedge Eternal Fire +10%fnatic · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
2. Banfnatic remove Default
3. PickEternal Fire take Dust2
4. Pickfnatic take Anubis
5. Banfnatic remove Ancient
6. BanEternal Fire remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:3
Eternal Fire 52%fnatic 48%
The model gave 52% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
Eternal Fire 74%fnatic 26%
The model gave 74% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by fnatic.
Overpassprediction correct22:20
Eternal Fire 50%fnatic 50%
The model gave 50% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoritefnatic · 60%
Series resultEternal Fire 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3