WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Oxuji#173 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
K27#44 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeOxuji pick
73%33%
Oxuji · 11 mapsedge Oxuji +40%K27 · 2 maps
Dust2K27 ban
47%40%
Oxuji · 11 mapsedge Oxuji +7%K27 · 1 map
Ancientpossible decider
64%43%
Oxuji · 7 mapsedge Oxuji +21%K27 · 3 maps
InfernoK27 ban
33%50%
Oxuji · 8 mapsedge K27 +17%K27 · 0 maps
MirageOxuji ban
67%40%
Oxuji · 5 mapsedge Oxuji +27%K27 · 1 map
DefaultK27 pick
75%50%
Oxuji · 4 mapsedge Oxuji +25%K27 · 0 maps
AnubisOxuji ban
43%50%
Oxuji · 3 mapsedge K27 +7%K27 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOxuji remove Anubis
2. BanK27 remove Inferno
3. PickOxuji take Nuke
4. PickK27 take Default
5. BanK27 remove Dust2
6. BanOxuji remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (64% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed5:13
Oxuji 73%K27 27%
The model gave 73% on Oxuji — the map was taken by K27.
Nukeprediction missed13:16
Oxuji 86%K27 14%
The model gave 86% on Oxuji — the map was taken by K27.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 60%
Series resultK27 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2