CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gentle Mates#38 in the world · win 2:0series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ALGO#146 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoGentle Mates pick
50%64%
Gentle Mates · 6 mapsedge ALGO +14%ALGO · 7 maps
NukeALGO pick
44%67%
Gentle Mates · 5 mapsedge ALGO +23%ALGO · 8 maps
AncientALGO ban
63%50%
Gentle Mates · 4 mapsedge Gentle Mates +13%ALGO · 6 maps
MirageALGO ban
44%22%
Gentle Mates · 5 mapsedge Gentle Mates +22%ALGO · 5 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%38%
Gentle Mates · 0 mapsedge Gentle Mates +12%ALGO · 9 maps
OverpassGentle Mates ban
50%43%
Gentle Mates · 2 mapsedge Gentle Mates +7%ALGO · 3 maps
DefaultGentle Mates ban
50%40%
Gentle Mates · 0 mapsedge Gentle Mates +10%ALGO · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGentle Mates remove Overpass
2. BanALGO remove Mirage
3. PickGentle Mates take Inferno
4. PickALGO take Nuke
5. BanALGO remove Ancient
6. BanGentle Mates remove Default
DeciderAnubis (50% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:8
Gentle Mates 64%ALGO 36%
The model gave 64% on Gentle Mates — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
Gentle Mates 60%ALGO 40%
The model gave 60% on Gentle Mates — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Model check result
Model favoriteGentle Mates · 84%
Series resultGentle Mates 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2