CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
ASTRAL#97 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientASTRAL pick
50%65%
ex-RUBY · 8 mapsedge ASTRAL +15%ASTRAL · 16 maps
Dust2ASTRAL ban
63%46%
ex-RUBY · 12 mapsedge ex-RUBY +17%ASTRAL · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%54%
ex-RUBY · 8 mapsnearly even -4%ASTRAL · 9 maps
Nukeex-RUBY pick
83%44%
ex-RUBY · 8 mapsedge ex-RUBY +39%ASTRAL · 5 maps
Infernoex-RUBY ban
50%33%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsedge ex-RUBY +17%ASTRAL · 8 maps
OverpassASTRAL ban
55%50%
ex-RUBY · 7 mapsedge ex-RUBY +5%ASTRAL · 0 maps
Anubisex-RUBY ban
60%71%
ex-RUBY · 1 mapedge ASTRAL +11%ASTRAL · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUBY remove Inferno
2. BanASTRAL remove Overpass
3. Pickex-RUBY take Nuke
4. PickASTRAL take Ancient
5. BanASTRAL remove Dust2
6. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
ex-RUBY 88%ASTRAL 12%
The model gave 88% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Ancientprediction correct14:16
ex-RUBY 32%ASTRAL 68%
The model gave 68% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
ex-RUBY 66%ASTRAL 34%
The model gave 66% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteASTRAL · 57%
Series resultex-RUBY 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3