CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
63%46%
Lavked · 23 mapsedge Lavked +17%Rune Eaters · 9 maps
Dust2Rune Eaters pick
43%60%
Lavked · 17 mapsedge Rune Eaters +17%Rune Eaters · 6 maps
Ancientpossible decider
77%50%
Lavked · 9 mapsedge Lavked +27%Rune Eaters · 8 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
60%40%
Lavked · 16 mapsedge Lavked +20%Rune Eaters · 1 map
InfernoLavked ban
31%43%
Lavked · 9 mapsedge Rune Eaters +12%Rune Eaters · 3 maps
AnubisLavked ban
44%50%
Lavked · 5 mapsedge Rune Eaters +6%Rune Eaters · 0 maps
OverpassRune Eaters ban
50%33%
Lavked · 2 mapsedge Lavked +17%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Anubis
2. BanRune Eaters remove Overpass
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickRune Eaters take Dust2
5. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
6. BanLavked remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (77% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
Lavked 69%Rune Eaters 31%
The model gave 69% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
Lavked 75%Rune Eaters 25%
The model gave 75% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 71%
Series resultLavked 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2