WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Virtus.pro#50 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2CYBERSHOKE pick
64%60%
CYBERSHOKE · 7 mapsnearly even +4%Virtus.pro · 1 map
AncientVirtus.pro ban
60%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 6 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +10%Virtus.pro · 0 maps
MirageVirtus.pro pick
50%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Virtus.pro · 0 maps
OverpassCYBERSHOKE ban
29%60%
CYBERSHOKE · 3 mapsedge Virtus.pro +31%Virtus.pro · 1 map
NukeVirtus.pro ban
60%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 1 mapedge CYBERSHOKE +10%Virtus.pro · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Overpass
2. BanVirtus.pro remove Nuke
3. PickCYBERSHOKE take Dust2
4. PickVirtus.pro take Mirage
5. BanVirtus.pro remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed5:13
CYBERSHOKE 63%Virtus.pro 37%
The model gave 63% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
CYBERSHOKE 47%Virtus.pro 53%
The model gave 53% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE · 75%
Series resultVirtus.pro 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2