WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 5 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BET-M#65 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBET-M ban
50%33%
163NEWS · 0 mapsedge 163NEWS +17%BET-M · 5 maps
Mirage163NEWS pick
40%50%
163NEWS · 1 mapedge BET-M +10%BET-M · 4 maps
InfernoBET-M pick
50%38%
163NEWS · 0 mapsedge 163NEWS +12%BET-M · 4 maps
Nuke163NEWS ban
50%43%
163NEWS · 0 mapsedge 163NEWS +7%BET-M · 3 maps
Dust2163NEWS ban
50%50%
163NEWS · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BET-M · 2 maps
AnubisBET-M ban
40%50%
163NEWS · 1 mapedge BET-M +10%BET-M · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban163NEWS remove Dust2
2. BanBET-M remove Ancient
3. Pick163NEWS take Mirage
4. PickBET-M take Inferno
5. BanBET-M remove Anubis
6. Ban163NEWS remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct2:13
163NEWS 43%BET-M 57%
The model gave 57% on BET-M — the map was taken by BET-M.
Nukeprediction missed2:13
163NEWS 54%BET-M 46%
The model gave 54% on 163NEWS — the map was taken by BET-M.
Model check result
Model favoriteBET-M · 74%
Series resultBET-M 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2