CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
RBLS#93 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ASTRAL#97 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientASTRAL pick
43%60%
RBLS · 3 mapsedge ASTRAL +17%ASTRAL · 11 maps
NukeASTRAL ban
57%57%
RBLS · 10 mapsnearly even +0%ASTRAL · 3 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%50%
RBLS · 4 mapsnearly even +0%ASTRAL · 6 maps
InfernoRBLS pick
67%36%
RBLS · 2 mapsedge RBLS +31%ASTRAL · 7 maps
MirageRBLS ban
50%58%
RBLS · 0 mapsedge ASTRAL +8%ASTRAL · 8 maps
AnubisRBLS ban
29%67%
RBLS · 3 mapsedge ASTRAL +38%ASTRAL · 2 maps
OverpassASTRAL ban
44%50%
RBLS · 5 mapsedge ASTRAL +6%ASTRAL · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRBLS remove Mirage
2. BanASTRAL remove Overpass
3. PickRBLS take Inferno
4. PickASTRAL take Ancient
5. BanASTRAL remove Nuke
6. BanRBLS remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:2
RBLS 80%ASTRAL 20%
The model gave 80% on RBLS — the map was taken by RBLS.
Anubisprediction correct5:13
RBLS 15%ASTRAL 85%
The model gave 85% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
RBLS 33%ASTRAL 67%
The model gave 67% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Model check result
Model favoriteRBLS · 54%
Series resultASTRAL 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3