CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageRune Eaters ban
50%50%
ex-RUBY · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Rune Eaters · 8 maps
Dust2Rune Eaters pick
64%63%
ex-RUBY · 10 mapsnearly even +1%Rune Eaters · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
40%60%
ex-RUBY · 6 mapsedge Rune Eaters +20%Rune Eaters · 6 maps
Nukeex-RUBY pick
83%40%
ex-RUBY · 8 mapsedge ex-RUBY +43%Rune Eaters · 1 map
OverpassRune Eaters ban
50%40%
ex-RUBY · 6 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%Rune Eaters · 1 map
Defaultex-RUBY ban
50%50%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
Infernoex-RUBY ban
50%50%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUBY remove Inferno
2. BanRune Eaters remove Overpass
3. Pickex-RUBY take Nuke
4. PickRune Eaters take Dust2
5. BanRune Eaters remove Mirage
6. Banex-RUBY remove Default
DeciderAncient (40% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
ex-RUBY 49%Rune Eaters 51%
The model gave 51% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
ex-RUBY 33%Rune Eaters 67%
The model gave 67% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Overpassprediction correct13:8
ex-RUBY 60%Rune Eaters 40%
The model gave 60% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 63%
Series resultex-RUBY 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3