Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBebop pick
50%60%
Rune Eaters · 8 mapsedge Bebop +10%Bebop · 6 maps
AncientBebop ban
55%29%
Rune Eaters · 7 mapsedge Rune Eaters +26%Bebop · 3 maps
Dust2Rune Eaters pick
67%75%
Rune Eaters · 5 mapsedge Bebop +8%Bebop · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%33%
Rune Eaters · 2 mapsedge Rune Eaters +17%Bebop · 5 maps
InfernoBebop ban
50%57%
Rune Eaters · 2 mapsedge Bebop +7%Bebop · 3 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
40%33%
Rune Eaters · 1 mapedge Rune Eaters +7%Bebop · 2 maps
AnubisRune Eaters ban
50%50%
Rune Eaters · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Bebop · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRune Eaters remove Anubis
2. BanBebop remove Ancient
3. PickRune Eaters take Dust2
4. PickBebop take Mirage
5. BanBebop remove Inferno
6. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
Rune Eaters 37%Bebop 63%
The model gave 63% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Rune Eaters 43%Bebop 57%
The model gave 57% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Model check result
Model favoriteBebop · 51%
Series resultBebop 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2