CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · win 2:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2METANOIA Wolves pick
41%67%
METANOIA Wolves · 13 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +26%MEIA NOITE · 2 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
20%43%
METANOIA Wolves · 6 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +23%MEIA NOITE · 3 maps
AncientMEIA NOITE ban
60%33%
METANOIA Wolves · 6 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +27%MEIA NOITE · 2 maps
InfernoMEIA NOITE pick
33%67%
METANOIA Wolves · 5 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +34%MEIA NOITE · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
44%60%
METANOIA Wolves · 5 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +16%MEIA NOITE · 1 map
NukeMETANOIA Wolves ban
38%40%
METANOIA Wolves · 4 mapsnearly even -2%MEIA NOITE · 1 map
CacheMEIA NOITE ban
29%40%
METANOIA Wolves · 3 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +11%MEIA NOITE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
2. BanMEIA NOITE remove Ancient
3. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Dust2
4. PickMEIA NOITE take Inferno
5. BanMEIA NOITE remove Cache
6. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (44% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
METANOIA Wolves 28%MEIA NOITE 72%
The model gave 72% on MEIA NOITE — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Mirageprediction correct20:22
METANOIA Wolves 23%MEIA NOITE 77%
The model gave 77% on MEIA NOITE — the map was taken by MEIA NOITE.
Ancientprediction correct16:12
METANOIA Wolves 75%MEIA NOITE 25%
The model gave 75% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Model check result
Model favoriteMEIA NOITE · 54%
Series resultMETANOIA Wolves 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3