CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Oramond#119 in the world · win 2:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HAVU#107 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HAVU ban
50%27%
Oramond · 4 mapsedge Oramond +23%HAVU · 7 maps
MirageHAVU ban
50%38%
Oramond · 4 mapsedge Oramond +12%HAVU · 4 maps
NukeHAVU pick
33%50%
Oramond · 2 mapsedge HAVU +17%HAVU · 4 maps
AnubisOramond pick
63%50%
Oramond · 4 mapsedge Oramond +13%HAVU · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%67%
Oramond · 1 mapedge HAVU +7%HAVU · 2 maps
InfernoOramond ban
60%33%
Oramond · 1 mapedge Oramond +27%HAVU · 2 maps
OverpassOramond ban
50%50%
Oramond · 0 mapsnearly even +0%HAVU · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOramond remove Inferno
2. BanHAVU remove Mirage
3. PickOramond take Anubis
4. PickHAVU take Nuke
5. BanHAVU remove Dust2
6. BanOramond remove Overpass
DeciderDefault (60% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed11:13
Oramond 75%HAVU 25%
The model gave 75% on Oramond — the map was taken by HAVU.
Overpassprediction missed13:4
Oramond 47%HAVU 53%
The model gave 53% on HAVU — the map was taken by Oramond.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
Oramond 63%HAVU 37%
The model gave 63% on Oramond — the map was taken by Oramond.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 52%
Series resultOramond 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3