UESF Championship of Ukraine 2026 Stage 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8 Academy#229 in the world · win 2:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoB8 Academy pick
57%50%
B8 Academy · 3 mapsedge B8 Academy +7%Erlamand · 0 maps
MirageErlamand ban
71%50%
B8 Academy · 3 mapsedge B8 Academy +21%Erlamand · 0 maps
AncientB8 Academy ban
40%50%
B8 Academy · 1 mapedge Erlamand +10%Erlamand · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 Academy remove Ancient
2. BanErlamand remove Mirage
3. PickB8 Academy take Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed14:16
B8 Academy 53%Erlamand 47%
The model gave 53% on B8 Academy — the map was taken by Erlamand.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
B8 Academy 37%Erlamand 63%
The model gave 63% on Erlamand — the map was taken by B8 Academy.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
B8 Academy 71%Erlamand 29%
The model gave 71% on B8 Academy — the map was taken by B8 Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 Academy · 55%
Series resultB8 Academy 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3