ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zomblers#197 in the world · win 2:0series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoDesi Boyz ban
57%50%
Zomblers · 10 mapsedge Zomblers +7%Desi Boyz · 0 maps
Dust2Zomblers ban
50%60%
Zomblers · 6 mapsedge Desi Boyz +10%Desi Boyz · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
50%60%
Zomblers · 4 mapsedge Desi Boyz +10%Desi Boyz · 1 map
NukeDesi Boyz pick
38%40%
Zomblers · 4 mapsnearly even -2%Desi Boyz · 1 map
AncientZomblers pick
67%40%
Zomblers · 2 mapsedge Zomblers +27%Desi Boyz · 1 map
AnubisDesi Boyz ban
33%50%
Zomblers · 2 mapsedge Desi Boyz +17%Desi Boyz · 0 maps
CacheZomblers ban
50%40%
Zomblers · 0 mapsedge Zomblers +10%Desi Boyz · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanZomblers remove Cache
2. BanDesi Boyz remove Inferno
3. PickZomblers take Ancient
4. PickDesi Boyz take Nuke
5. BanDesi Boyz remove Anubis
6. BanZomblers remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:10
Zomblers 60%Desi Boyz 40%
The model gave 60% on Zomblers — the map was taken by Zomblers.
Nukeprediction missed13:3
Zomblers 44%Desi Boyz 56%
The model gave 56% on Desi Boyz — the map was taken by Zomblers.
Model check result
Model favoriteDesi Boyz · 58%
Series resultZomblers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2