CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#144 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
6666#80 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Honvéd pick
42%56%
Honvéd · 34 mapsedge 6666 +14%6666 · 5 maps
MirageHonvéd ban
47%63%
Honvéd · 28 mapsedge 6666 +16%6666 · 4 maps
Inferno6666 ban
38%17%
Honvéd · 17 mapsedge Honvéd +21%6666 · 8 maps
Ancient6666 pick
50%55%
Honvéd · 12 mapsedge 6666 +5%6666 · 7 maps
AnubisHonvéd ban
36%58%
Honvéd · 7 mapsedge 6666 +22%6666 · 8 maps
Defaultpossible decider
56%50%
Honvéd · 14 mapsedge Honvéd +6%6666 · 0 maps
Cache6666 ban
40%50%
Honvéd · 11 mapsedge 6666 +10%6666 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
2. Ban6666 remove Cache
3. PickHonvéd take Dust2
4. Pick6666 take Ancient
5. Ban6666 remove Inferno
6. BanHonvéd remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
Honvéd 37%6666 63%
The model gave 63% on 6666 — the map was taken by 6666.
Nukeprediction correct5:13
Honvéd 47%6666 53%
The model gave 53% on 6666 — the map was taken by 6666.
Model check result
Model favorite6666 · 60%
Series result6666 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2