ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#128 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Infernopossible decider
58%50%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 8 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +8%BGNS Orange · 2 maps
Dust2BGNS Orange ban
64%50%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 7 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +14%BGNS Orange · 0 maps
NukeTHUNDER dOWNUNDER ban
56%33%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 5 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +23%BGNS Orange · 2 maps
AnubisBGNS Orange ban
67%50%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 5 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +17%BGNS Orange · 0 maps
AncientTHUNDER dOWNUNDER ban
50%60%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 2 mapsedge BGNS Orange +10%BGNS Orange · 1 map
MirageTHUNDER dOWNUNDER ban
50%40%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 0 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +10%BGNS Orange · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTHUNDER dOWNUNDER remove Mirage
2. BanBGNS Orange remove Anubis
3. BanTHUNDER dOWNUNDER remove Ancient
4. BanBGNS Orange remove Dust2
5. BanTHUNDER dOWNUNDER remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (58% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
THUNDER dOWNUNDER 50%BGNS Orange 50%
The model gave 50% on THUNDER dOWNUNDER — the map was taken by BGNS Orange.
Model check result
Model favoriteTHUNDER dOWNUNDER · 64%
Series resultBGNS Orange 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1