ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#128 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:1
KKZG#182 in the world · win 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoTHUNDER dOWNUNDER ban
58%40%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 8 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +18%KZG · 1 map
Dust2KZG ban
64%50%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 7 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +14%KZG · 0 maps
AnubisTHUNDER dOWNUNDER pick
67%50%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 5 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +17%KZG · 0 maps
NukeKZG ban
56%50%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 5 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +6%KZG · 0 maps
AncientTHUNDER dOWNUNDER ban
50%50%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 2 mapsnearly even +0%KZG · 0 maps
DefaultKZG pick
40%50%
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 1 mapedge KZG +10%KZG · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTHUNDER dOWNUNDER remove Ancient
2. BanKZG remove Dust2
3. PickTHUNDER dOWNUNDER take Anubis
4. PickKZG take Default
5. BanKZG remove Nuke
6. BanTHUNDER dOWNUNDER remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
THUNDER dOWNUNDER 40%KZG 60%
The model gave 60% on KZG — the map was taken by KZG.
Model check result
Model favoriteTHUNDER dOWNUNDER · 65%
Series resultKZG 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1