ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Abyssal#165 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KKZG#182 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoAbyssal ban
33%43%
Abyssal · 8 mapsedge KZG +10%KZG · 3 maps
MirageKZG ban
79%50%
Abyssal · 10 mapsedge Abyssal +29%KZG · 0 maps
Dust2Abyssal pick
67%60%
Abyssal · 8 mapsedge Abyssal +7%KZG · 1 map
Ancientpossible decider
56%40%
Abyssal · 5 mapsedge Abyssal +16%KZG · 1 map
NukeAbyssal ban
30%50%
Abyssal · 6 mapsedge KZG +20%KZG · 0 maps
CacheKZG ban
67%50%
Abyssal · 2 mapsedge Abyssal +17%KZG · 0 maps
DefaultKZG pick
40%60%
Abyssal · 1 mapedge KZG +20%KZG · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAbyssal remove Nuke
2. BanKZG remove Mirage
3. PickAbyssal take Dust2
4. PickKZG take Default
5. BanKZG remove Cache
6. BanAbyssal remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (56% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:11
Abyssal 37%KZG 63%
The model gave 63% on KZG — the map was taken by Abyssal.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
Abyssal 60%KZG 40%
The model gave 60% on Abyssal — the map was taken by Abyssal.
Model check result
Model favoriteAbyssal · 52%
Series resultAbyssal 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2