CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
benched gods#162 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Illyrians#144 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragebenched gods ban
32%65%
benched gods · 15 mapsedge Illyrians +33%Illyrians · 13 maps
CacheIllyrians ban
59%50%
benched gods · 18 mapsedge benched gods +9%Illyrians · 4 maps
Dust2Illyrians pick
43%38%
benched gods · 10 mapsedge benched gods +5%Illyrians · 12 maps
Ancientpossible decider
47%50%
benched gods · 15 mapsnearly even -3%Illyrians · 6 maps
Anubisbenched gods ban
47%71%
benched gods · 15 mapsedge Illyrians +24%Illyrians · 3 maps
Defaultbenched gods pick
88%50%
benched gods · 12 mapsedge benched gods +38%Illyrians · 2 maps
InfernoIllyrians ban
50%50%
benched gods · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Illyrians · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banbenched gods remove Mirage
2. BanIllyrians remove Cache
3. Pickbenched gods take Default
4. PickIllyrians take Dust2
5. BanIllyrians remove Inferno
6. Banbenched gods remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (47% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
benched gods 18%Illyrians 82%
The model gave 82% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Illyrians.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
benched gods 50%Illyrians 50%
The model gave 50% on benched gods — the map was taken by Illyrians.
Model check result
Model favoriteIllyrians · 54%
Series resultIllyrians 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2