CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
mellren#94 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragemellren pick
25%65%
Bebop · 12 mapsedge mellren +40%mellren · 30 maps
Dust2Bebop pick
43%59%
Bebop · 19 mapsedge mellren +16%mellren · 13 maps
Nukemellren ban
44%19%
Bebop · 14 mapsedge Bebop +25%mellren · 12 maps
Infernopossible decider
40%53%
Bebop · 6 mapsedge mellren +13%mellren · 15 maps
AncientBebop ban
50%73%
Bebop · 0 mapsedge mellren +23%mellren · 18 maps
AnubisBebop ban
36%73%
Bebop · 7 mapsedge mellren +37%mellren · 7 maps
Defaultmellren ban
56%50%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge Bebop +6%mellren · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBebop remove Ancient
2. Banmellren remove Nuke
3. PickBebop take Dust2
4. Pickmellren take Mirage
5. Banmellren remove Default
6. BanBebop remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (40% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct5:13
Bebop 35%mellren 65%
The model gave 65% on mellren — the map was taken by mellren.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
Bebop 38%mellren 62%
The model gave 62% on mellren — the map was taken by mellren.
Model check result
Model favoritemellren · 56%
Series resultmellren 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2