BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2PsychoFace pick
60%62%
ex-RUBY · 11 mapsnearly even -2%PsychoFace · 9 maps
Nukeex-RUBY pick
83%50%
ex-RUBY · 8 mapsedge ex-RUBY +33%PsychoFace · 6 maps
MiragePsychoFace ban
50%33%
ex-RUBY · 8 mapsedge ex-RUBY +17%PsychoFace · 5 maps
Overpasspossible decider
55%63%
ex-RUBY · 7 mapsedge PsychoFace +8%PsychoFace · 4 maps
AncientPsychoFace ban
45%33%
ex-RUBY · 7 mapsedge ex-RUBY +12%PsychoFace · 2 maps
Anubisex-RUBY ban
60%50%
ex-RUBY · 1 mapedge ex-RUBY +10%PsychoFace · 4 maps
Defaultex-RUBY ban
50%50%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsnearly even +0%PsychoFace · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
2. BanPsychoFace remove Mirage
3. Pickex-RUBY take Nuke
4. PickPsychoFace take Dust2
5. BanPsychoFace remove Ancient
6. Banex-RUBY remove Default
DeciderOverpass (55% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
ex-RUBY 45%PsychoFace 55%
The model gave 55% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Ancientprediction correct13:4
ex-RUBY 65%PsychoFace 35%
The model gave 65% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 61%
Series resultex-RUBY 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2