MESA Pro Series Fall 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionTAThe Audacityloss 0:2
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The Huns#123 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2The Audacity ban
50%58%
The Audacity · 0 mapsedge The Huns +8%The Huns · 20 maps
InfernoThe Audacity pick
50%26%
The Audacity · 0 mapsedge The Audacity +24%The Huns · 19 maps
NukeThe Huns pick
50%52%
The Audacity · 0 mapsnearly even -2%The Huns · 17 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%53%
The Audacity · 0 mapsnearly even -3%The Huns · 15 maps
MirageThe Huns ban
50%38%
The Audacity · 0 mapsedge The Audacity +12%The Huns · 12 maps
CacheThe Huns ban
50%56%
The Audacity · 0 mapsedge The Huns +6%The Huns · 5 maps
DefaultThe Audacity ban
50%60%
The Audacity · 0 mapsedge The Huns +10%The Huns · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Audacity remove Default
2. BanThe Huns remove Cache
3. PickThe Audacity take Inferno
4. PickThe Huns take Nuke
5. BanThe Huns remove Mirage
6. BanThe Audacity remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (50% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
The Audacity 44%The Huns 56%
The model gave 56% on The Huns — the map was taken by The Huns.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
The Audacity 45%The Huns 55%
The model gave 55% on The Huns — the map was taken by The Huns.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Huns · 66%
Series resultThe Huns 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2