MESA Pro Series Fall 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
The Huns#123 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Chinggis Warriors#116 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeThe Huns pick
52%59%
The Huns · 17 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +7%Chinggis Warriors · 18 maps
Dust2Chinggis Warriors ban
56%50%
The Huns · 21 mapedge The Huns +6%Chinggis Warriors · 10 maps
InfernoChinggis Warriors pick
26%60%
The Huns · 19 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +34%Chinggis Warriors · 11 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%53%
The Huns · 16 mapsnearly even -3%Chinggis Warriors · 11 maps
MirageThe Huns ban
38%50%
The Huns · 12 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +12%Chinggis Warriors · 4 maps
CacheChinggis Warriors ban
60%50%
The Huns · 6 mapsedge The Huns +10%Chinggis Warriors · 2 maps
AnubisThe Huns ban
50%29%
The Huns · 0 mapsedge The Huns +21%Chinggis Warriors · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Huns remove Anubis
2. BanChinggis Warriors remove Cache
3. PickThe Huns take Nuke
4. PickChinggis Warriors take Inferno
5. BanChinggis Warriors remove Dust2
6. BanThe Huns remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (50% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
The Huns 17%Chinggis Warriors 83%
The model gave 83% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by Chinggis Warriors.
Nukeprediction correct4:13
The Huns 46%Chinggis Warriors 54%
The model gave 54% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by Chinggis Warriors.
Model check result
Model favoriteChinggis Warriors · 51%
Series resultChinggis Warriors 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2