FRAG University 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
DENDELE#41 in the world · win 13:7series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 13:7
Imperial#51 in the world · loss 7:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageDENDELE ban
50%73%
DENDELE · 10 mapsedge Imperial +23%Imperial · 22 maps
InfernoDENDELE ban
56%64%
DENDELE · 5 mapsedge Imperial +8%Imperial · 24 maps
CacheImperial ban
60%65%
DENDELE · 11 mapsedge Imperial +5%Imperial · 13 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%68%
DENDELE · 6 mapsedge Imperial +18%Imperial · 18 maps
AnubisImperial ban
60%58%
DENDELE · 6 mapsnearly even +2%Imperial · 8 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%56%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge Imperial +6%Imperial · 14 maps
AncientImperial ban
55%50%
DENDELE · 7 mapsedge DENDELE +5%Imperial · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
2. BanImperial remove Ancient
3. BanDENDELE remove Mirage
4. BanImperial remove Anubis
5. BanDENDELE remove Inferno
6. BanImperial remove Cache
DeciderNuke (50% / 68%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:7
DENDELE 45%Imperial 55%
The model gave 55% on Imperial — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Model check result
Model favoriteDENDELE · 64%
Series resultDENDELE 13:7
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1