FRAG University 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
DENDELE#41 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wildcard#46 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageDENDELE ban
50%36%
DENDELE · 10 mapsedge DENDELE +14%Wildcard · 10 maps
InfernoWildcard pick
56%47%
DENDELE · 5 mapsedge DENDELE +9%Wildcard · 13 maps
CacheDENDELE pick
63%50%
DENDELE · 12 mapsedge DENDELE +13%Wildcard · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%50%
DENDELE · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Wildcard · 8 maps
AncientWildcard ban
55%50%
DENDELE · 7 mapsedge DENDELE +5%Wildcard · 0 maps
AnubisWildcard ban
60%40%
DENDELE · 6 mapsedge DENDELE +20%Wildcard · 1 map
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%50%
DENDELE · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Wildcard · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
2. BanWildcard remove Ancient
3. PickDENDELE take Cache
4. PickWildcard take Inferno
5. BanWildcard remove Anubis
6. BanDENDELE remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:16
DENDELE 61%Wildcard 39%
The model gave 61% on DENDELE — the map was taken by Wildcard.
Cacheprediction missed3:13
DENDELE 65%Wildcard 35%
The model gave 65% on DENDELE — the map was taken by Wildcard.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard · 56%
Series resultWildcard 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2