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FRAG University 2026 · BO5
result vs prediction
Wildcard#46 in the world · win 3:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 3:2
DENDELE#41 in the world · loss 2:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
40%50%
Wildcard · 11 mapsedge DENDELE +10%DENDELE · 12 maps
InfernoWildcard pick
47%60%
Wildcard · 13 mapsedge DENDELE +13%DENDELE · 6 maps
CacheDENDELE pick
56%59%
Wildcard · 5 mapsnearly even -3%DENDELE · 13 maps
NukeWildcard pick
50%50%
Wildcard · 8 mapsnearly even +0%DENDELE · 6 maps
AncientWildcard ban
50%55%
Wildcard · 0 mapsedge DENDELE +5%DENDELE · 7 maps
AnubisDENDELE pick
40%60%
Wildcard · 1 mapedge DENDELE +20%DENDELE · 6 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%50%
Wildcard · 6 mapsnearly even +0%DENDELE · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWildcard remove Ancient
2. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
3. PickWildcard take Inferno
4. PickDENDELE take Cache
5. PickWildcard take Nuke
6. PickDENDELE take Anubis
DeciderMirage (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Wildcard 50%DENDELE 50%
The model gave 50% on Wildcard — the map was taken by Wildcard.
Mirageprediction correct4:13
Wildcard 43%DENDELE 57%
The model gave 57% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
Wildcard 47%DENDELE 53%
The model gave 53% on DENDELE — the map was taken by Wildcard.
Infernoprediction correct8:13
Wildcard 40%DENDELE 60%
The model gave 60% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Anubisprediction missed16:14
Wildcard 28%DENDELE 72%
The model gave 72% on DENDELE — the map was taken by Wildcard.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard · 62%
Series resultWildcard 3:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 5