Thunderpick World Championship 2026 · BO3
pre-match prediction
FURIA#4 in the worldseries probability
46%54%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Aurora#6 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageFURIA pick
58%60%
FURIA · 15 mapsnearly even -2%Aurora · 16 maps
CacheFURIA ban
44%54%
FURIA · 12 mapsedge Aurora +10%Aurora · 9 maps
NukeAurora pick
60%69%
FURIA · 11 mapsedge Aurora +9%Aurora · 9 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%54%
FURIA · 10 mapsnearly even -4%Aurora · 9 maps
InfernoAurora ban
64%54%
FURIA · 7 mapsedge FURIA +10%Aurora · 9 maps
AnubisFURIA ban
29%69%
FURIA · 3 mapsedge Aurora +40%Aurora · 12 maps
AncientAurora ban
50%40%
FURIA · 10 mapsedge FURIA +10%Aurora · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFURIA remove Anubis
2. BanAurora remove Ancient
3. PickFURIA take Mirage
4. PickAurora take Nuke
5. BanAurora remove Inferno
6. BanFURIA remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (50% / 54%)