GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
1win#14 in the world · win 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
5star#38 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancient1win pick
55%24%
1win · 16 mapsedge 1win +31%5star · 17 maps
Dust25star ban
58%50%
1win · 27 mapsedge 1win +8%5star · 0 maps
Inferno5star pick
63%68%
1win · 4 mapsedge 5star +5%5star · 18 maps
Mirage5star ban
64%67%
1win · 10 mapsnearly even -3%5star · 8 maps
Cachepossible decider
54%50%
1win · 9 mapsnearly even +4%5star · 8 maps
Nuke1win ban
50%52%
1win · 0 mapsnearly even -2%5star · 17 maps
Anubis1win ban
41%71%
1win · 13 mapsedge 5star +30%5star · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Nuke
2. Ban5star remove Dust2
3. Pick1win take Ancient
4. Pick5star take Inferno
5. Ban5star remove Mirage
6. Ban1win remove Anubis
DeciderCache (54% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
1win 41%5star 59%
The model gave 59% on 5star — the map was taken by 1win.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
1win 50%5star 50%
The model gave 50% on 1win — the map was taken by 1win.
Model check result
Model favorite1win · 71%
Series result1win 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2