Tipsport Conquest of Prague 2026 Finals · BO3
result vs prediction
EYEBALLERS#43 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Alliance#22 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeAlliance ban
60%50%
EYEBALLERS · 1 mapedge EYEBALLERS +10%Alliance · 4 maps
Dust2Alliance pick
60%57%
EYEBALLERS · 1 mapnearly even +3%Alliance · 3 maps
AncientAlliance ban
60%33%
EYEBALLERS · 1 mapedge EYEBALLERS +27%Alliance · 2 maps
InfernoEYEBALLERS ban
50%57%
EYEBALLERS · 0 mapsedge Alliance +7%Alliance · 3 maps
AnubisEYEBALLERS pick
60%40%
EYEBALLERS · 1 mapedge EYEBALLERS +20%Alliance · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEYEBALLERS remove Inferno
2. BanAlliance remove Ancient
3. PickEYEBALLERS take Anubis
4. PickAlliance take Dust2
5. BanAlliance remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct20:22
EYEBALLERS 40%Alliance 60%
The model gave 60% on Alliance — the map was taken by Alliance.
Overpassprediction correct13:5
EYEBALLERS 53%Alliance 47%
The model gave 53% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by EYEBALLERS.
Ancientprediction missed9:13
EYEBALLERS 75%Alliance 25%
The model gave 75% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by Alliance.
Model check result
Model favoriteEYEBALLERS · 56%
Series resultAlliance 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3