PGL Bucharest 2027 Open Qualifier 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nordic Partners#118 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
38%54%
Nordic Partners · 4 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +16%ex-RUSTEC · 44 maps
AnubisNordic Partners pick
50%66%
Nordic Partners · 12 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +16%ex-RUSTEC · 25 maps
NukeNordic Partners ban
50%51%
Nordic Partners · 4 mapsnearly even -1%ex-RUSTEC · 31 map
Mirageex-RUSTEC ban
50%48%
Nordic Partners · 6 mapsnearly even +2%ex-RUSTEC · 21 map
Cachepossible decider
30%47%
Nordic Partners · 6 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +17%ex-RUSTEC · 13 maps
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
29%50%
Nordic Partners · 3 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +21%ex-RUSTEC · 16 maps
AncientNordic Partners ban
33%67%
Nordic Partners · 2 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +34%ex-RUSTEC · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNordic Partners remove Ancient
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Mirage
3. PickNordic Partners take Anubis
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
6. BanNordic Partners remove Nuke
DeciderCache (30% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct15:19
Nordic Partners 46%ex-RUSTEC 54%
The model gave 54% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
Nordic Partners 55%ex-RUSTEC 45%
The model gave 55% on Nordic Partners — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 59%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2