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PGL Bucharest 2027 Open Qualifier 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The Golden Horde#207 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
63%40%
GenOne · 34 mapsedge GenOne +23%The Golden Horde · 1 map
AncientThe Golden Horde ban
60%50%
GenOne · 21 mapedge GenOne +10%The Golden Horde · 0 maps
InfernoThe Golden Horde pick
60%60%
GenOne · 16 mapsnearly even +0%The Golden Horde · 1 map
NukeGenOne ban
44%50%
GenOne · 14 mapsedge The Golden Horde +6%The Golden Horde · 0 maps
AnubisThe Golden Horde ban
86%60%
GenOne · 10 mapsedge GenOne +26%The Golden Horde · 1 map
CacheGenOne ban
36%50%
GenOne · 7 mapsedge The Golden Horde +14%The Golden Horde · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
GenOne · 1 mapedge GenOne +10%The Golden Horde · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Cache
2. BanThe Golden Horde remove Ancient
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. PickThe Golden Horde take Inferno
5. BanThe Golden Horde remove Anubis
6. BanGenOne remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
GenOne 74%The Golden Horde 26%
The model gave 74% on GenOne — the map was taken by The Golden Horde.
Infernoprediction missed13:8
GenOne 47%The Golden Horde 53%
The model gave 53% on The Golden Horde — the map was taken by GenOne.
Cacheprediction correct7:13
GenOne 36%The Golden Horde 64%
The model gave 64% on The Golden Horde — the map was taken by The Golden Horde.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 67%
Series resultThe Golden Horde 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3